The prestigious US-University, Stanford University have released its first report from the One Hundred Year Study on Artificial Intelligence (AI100), reassuring anyone out there who have been worried about robots eventually becoming intelligent enough to “finish us off”, that it will not happen anytime soon.
“No machines with self-sustaining long-term goals and intent have been developed, they write, nor are they likely to be in the near future.”
The study is an ongoing endowed project who aims towards having a standing committee of scientists that regularly will commission reports taking expansive looks at how AI will impact different aspects of our daily lives, FastCompany writes.
With the release of the first of those reports, a 28.000-word document, named “Artificial Intelligence and Life in 2030”, we get an insight into a year-long study about the likely effects of AI advancements on a typical North American city, a little more than a decade from now.
“The portrayal of artificial intelligence in the movies and in literature is fictional,” Peter Stone, a computer scientist at the University of Texas at Austin who was the lead author on the 2030 report said.
“It’s a misconception of people . . . that AI is one thing. We also found that the general public is either very positively disposed to AI and excited about it, sometimes in a way that’s unrealistic, or scared of it and saying it’s going to destroy us, but also in a way that’s unrealistic.”
Stone and the co-authors of the report address several aspects of the future urban life, emphasising that AI has not upended the status quo, and does neither have the potential to do so. Looking into industries such as transport, health care, education and the workplace, the authors refer to AI as something like the modern smartphone, saying:
“It’s not that it’s literally taken over your life, but most people at the same time can’t imagine functioning without one.”
The first areas where humans will be asked to trust the reliability of a robot will most likely be in transportation, the report writes, as autonomous transportation will soon be common. In health care, the report says that the current health care delivery system is still structurally ill-suited for the rapidly evolving high-tech advances in AI-capabilities. However, the report predicts that AI will relieve physicians from computational, time-consuming tasks.
Treatments and diagnoses are predicted to become more personalised, the report writes: “Looking ahead, many tasks that appear in health care will be amenable to augmentation but will not be fully automated. For example, robots may be able to deliver goods to the right room in a hospital, but then require a person to pick them up and place them in their final location.”
Policing and public safety could also be improved by AI as facial recognition improves, cameras will become better in preventing and prosecute crime. It will provide better accuracy of even classification, as well as assisting law enforcement with social network analysis.
“Law enforcement agencies are increasingly interested in trying to detect plans for disruptive events from social media, and also to monitor activity at large gatherings of people to analyze security,” the study writes.
“There is significant work on crowd simulations to determine how crowds can be controlled. At the same time, legitimate concerns have been raised about the potential for law enforcement agencies to overreach and use such tools to violate people’s privacy.”
In terms of employment and jobs, the study believes AI will replace tasks, rather than jobs, as well as creating new jobs. The authors have concluded that there is no need for concern about AI posing an imminent threat to humanity.
This article was first published at: https://www.fastcompany.com/3065703/mind-and-machine/robots-wont-try-to-kill-us-says-stanfords-100-year-study-of-ai